Understanding the Decrease in Hezbollah Missile Launches Towards Israel
Military expert Major General Fayez al-Duwairi has provided insights into the recent decrease in missile launches by Hezbollah towards Israel. According to Al-Duwairi, this reduction is not a reflection of Hezbollah's capabilities but rather a strategic decision influenced by political considerations. He emphasized that the operational level of missile deployment is dictated by the political vision of Hezbollah's leadership.
Recent Developments and Military Dynamics
In a recent interview with Al Jazeera, Al-Duwairi noted that the number of rockets fired by Hezbollah had significantly decreased, with only 90 rockets crossing into Israel on a recent Monday, compared to over 110 in previous days. This relative calm is seen as a tactical choice rather than a sign of diminished capability. He explained that Hezbollah is likely setting 'red lines' in response to Israel's military superiority, particularly its air force, which complicates the dynamics of their asymmetric warfare.
The Current State of Hezbollah's Missile Capabilities
Despite Israeli claims that Hezbollah has lost 80% of its missile capabilities, Al-Duwairi challenges this assertion, arguing that Hezbollah likely retains a significant arsenal estimated between 100,000 and 200,000 missiles. He pointed out that while Israel has inflicted considerable damage on Hezbollah, it is improbable that such a large percentage of missile capabilities has been destroyed. He highlighted the importance of strategic planning for Hezbollah, especially in light of the prolonged conflict in Gaza, suggesting that Hezbollah must prepare for a long-term engagement by effectively utilizing its missile capabilities.
