Javier Milei's preference for a Trump victory reflects a broader alignment with far-right ideologies, which may influence Argentina's foreign policy direction.
The potential for increased bilateral cooperation on issues like drug trafficking and Venezuela under a Trump administration could shape regional dynamics.
The negotiations with the IMF will be pivotal for Argentina's economic recovery, with the US's role being critical regardless of who wins the presidency.
Should Trump win, expect a more transactional relationship that could benefit Argentina in trade but may lack long-term stability.
If Harris becomes president, anticipate a continuation of current policies with a focus on pragmatic cooperation, particularly in economic matters.
The outcome of the elections could also influence Argentina's relationship with China, as both US candidates may pressure Argentina to reconsider its trade ties with Beijing.
In the lead-up to the US elections, the outcome could significantly influence Argentina's political and economic landscape, particularly under the leadership of President Javier Milei. Both Donald Trump and Kamala Harris present distinct approaches that could reshape bilateral relations between the United States and Argentina. Milei, who has expressed a preference for a Trump victory, shares ideological similarities with the former president, particularly in their conservative values and anti-establishment rhetoric. However, experts caution that while a Trump administration may foster a more favorable environment for Argentina, especially regarding trade and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), it may also lead to a transactional and unilateral approach rather than one based on mutual benefit.
If Trump wins, analysts suggest that the personal and ideological affinity between him and Milei could lead to a stronger alliance, particularly in areas like drug trafficking and cooperation on Venezuela. However, there are concerns about the unpredictability of Trump's policies and their implications for Argentina's economic stability. In contrast, a Harris administration is expected to maintain a pragmatic relationship with Milei, focusing on shared interests but potentially clashing on social issues such as climate change and gender equality.
One crucial aspect of the potential relationship with either candidate is the role of the IMF. Argentina is looking to negotiate new loans to address its economic challenges, and the influence of the US in the IMF could play a critical role in this process. While Trump may be more inclined to support Argentina due to personal ties, Harris's administration might adopt a more cautious approach, prioritizing technical assistance over significant financial aid. Ultimately, the outcome of the US elections will determine not only the future of US-Argentina relations but also the broader geopolitical dynamics in Latin America.
