France's International Conference on Lebanon's Future
On Thursday, France is set to host an international conference aimed at supporting Lebanon amidst its ongoing political and economic crises. Initiated by President Emmanuel Macron, this conference comes at a critical time as Lebanon faces significant challenges, including an ongoing conflict with Israel that has resulted in the deaths of over 2,400 individuals. The French presidency has confirmed a meeting on Wednesday between Macron and Lebanese caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati, highlighting France's continued engagement in Lebanese affairs.
Absence of Key Players and Challenges Ahead
The French Foreign Ministry has not disclosed specific goals for the conference nor the list of attendees. Notably absent from the conference will be US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, reflecting the complex dynamics of international involvement in Lebanon. Additionally, Iran, a key supporter of Hezbollah, will also not participate, raising concerns about the conference's effectiveness in achieving a ceasefire. Experts suggest that without the presence of these influential players, the conference may struggle to deliver substantial outcomes, potentially limiting its focus to humanitarian aid initiatives.
The Historical Context of Resolution 1701
France has been advocating for a resolution based on UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which was established to cease hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah following the 2006 war. This resolution calls for Israel's withdrawal from Lebanon and the strengthening of the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL). However, the current situation remains precarious, with frequent violations of this resolution. As the conference approaches, experts warn that while humanitarian aid may be discussed, significant political resolutions are unlikely to emerge.
