Turkey's strategic proposal to the US reflects its desire to reshape the dynamics in northeastern Syria by eliminating the SDF's influence.
The SDF's fears of a US withdrawal highlight the delicate balance of power in the region, where alliances can shift rapidly based on political changes.
Trump's foreign policy approach, which emphasizes personal relationships, may lead to significant changes in US-Turkey relations and the broader Syrian conflict.
If Turkey successfully takes over the fight against ISIS, it could significantly alter the power dynamics in northeastern Syria, potentially sidelining the SDF.
Increased cooperation between Turkey and the US under Trump could lead to a reduction in US support for the SDF, impacting their operational capabilities.
The situation in the Al-Hawl camp may deteriorate if political instability arises, posing a risk of ISIS resurgence in the region.
Turkey's Optimism Amid Trump's Return
With Donald Trump's return to the presidency, Turkey is optimistic about resolving complex issues in Syria that have persisted during Joe Biden's administration. The Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), backed by the US-led coalition, control significant territories in northeastern Syria, which Turkey views as a security threat due to its association with the PKK, a group designated as terrorist by Ankara. Turkey has previously launched military operations against the SDF, highlighting the urgency of addressing this contentious issue.
Turkish Proposal to the US
In a strategic move, Turkey has proposed to the Trump administration that it take over the responsibility of combating ISIS in Syria, contingent upon the withdrawal of US forces and the cessation of support for the SDF. This proposal, made on November 21, aims to diminish the SDF's leverage by positioning Turkey as a key player in the fight against ISIS. However, the US has yet to respond to this offer, which reflects Turkey's readiness to engage in a more significant role in regional security.
Concerns of the Syrian Democratic Forces
The SDF has expressed apprehension regarding the potential shift in US policy under Trump, recalling past frustrations when the US withdrew support, leaving them vulnerable to Turkish military actions. The recent warming of US-Turkish relations, particularly following Turkey's approval of Sweden's NATO membership, has heightened these concerns. Observers note that while Turkey seeks to capitalize on Trump's presidency to advance its interests, the US is likely to maintain a limited military presence in Syria to safeguard its strategic interests and resources.
