Erdogan's approach to Trump indicates a strategic pivot in Turkish foreign policy, focusing on personal diplomacy to navigate complex geopolitical challenges.
The potential for improved U.S.-Turkey relations under Trump could reshape the balance of power in the Middle East, particularly concerning Kurdish autonomy and Israeli military actions.
Turkey's emphasis on military cooperation and arms deals with the U.S. reflects its ongoing security concerns, particularly in light of regional conflicts and its relationship with NATO.
If Trump successfully negotiates a withdrawal of U.S. forces from Syria, it may lead to a significant shift in Turkey's military strategy and its approach to Kurdish groups.
Increased military cooperation between the U.S. and Turkey could enhance Turkey's defense capabilities, particularly if the F-35 program is revisited.
The evolving relationship between Turkey and the U.S. under Trump could impact broader Middle Eastern geopolitics, especially regarding Israeli actions in Gaza and Lebanon.
Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan expressed optimism following Donald Trump's victory in the recent U.S. presidential election, emphasizing the importance of personal relations between the two leaders. Erdogan congratulated Trump and highlighted hopes for improved bilateral relations, particularly in addressing regional conflicts such as the Russian-Ukrainian war and tensions involving Israel in Gaza and Lebanon.
Erdogan's phone call with Trump underscored Turkey's desire for the U.S. to cease support for separatist groups in northern Syria and to reconsider military assistance to Israel. The Turkish president also invited Trump to visit Ankara, reflecting a strategic approach to enhance diplomatic ties.
The dynamics of U.S.-Turkey relations have fluctuated significantly between the Trump and Biden administrations. Under Trump, personal relations were generally more favorable, despite institutional tensions. Conversely, Biden's presidency was marked by strained personal interactions, which affected institutional communication, particularly regarding military and defense issues.
As Trump begins his second term, Erdogan is expected to push for a U.S. withdrawal from northeastern Syria, which he believes would bolster Turkey's national security against perceived threats from Kurdish groups. The outcome of this push could have substantial implications for both countries' strategic interests in the region.
Ankara is also keen to revive discussions surrounding the F-35 fighter jet program, which Turkey was removed from under Biden's administration. Erdogan's administration hopes to leverage Trump's business-oriented approach to negotiate favorable terms for Turkey's defense needs.
