Trump's recognition of Jerusalem as Israel's capital has had lasting impacts on US-Israel relations and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
The Arab world's weakened position may hinder effective opposition to Israeli policies during Trump's second term.
Potential changes at the Al-Aqsa Mosque site could escalate tensions between Israelis and Palestinians.
Increased Israeli expansion in Jerusalem and the West Bank.
Further normalization of relations between Israel and Arab states, potentially at the expense of Palestinian rights.
A formal division of the Al-Aqsa Mosque, leading to heightened conflict and unrest.
Implications of Trump's New Term on Jerusalem and Israel-Palestine Relations
As former President Donald Trump embarks on a new term following his victory over Democratic candidate Kamala Harris, analysts are closely examining the potential impacts on Jerusalem and the broader Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Trump's previous term was marked by significant decisions, including the controversial recognition of Jerusalem as Israel's capital and the relocation of the US embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem in 2017. This recognition was framed by Trump as a necessary step towards achieving peace, despite widespread criticism and concerns about its implications for the peace process.
Experts argue that Trump's return to power may embolden Israel's right-wing government to further its agenda in Jerusalem and the occupied territories. Muhammad Halsa, an academic specializing in Israeli affairs, suggests that Trump's ideological stance and past actions will likely continue to influence US policy towards Israel and Palestine. He notes that Trump's previous decisions have already facilitated Israeli expansionist policies, particularly regarding Jerusalem and the Al-Aqsa Mosque, which has been a focal point of tension between Israelis and Palestinians.
Halsa predicts that Trump's administration will exhibit increased leniency towards Israeli actions in the region, potentially leading to further violations of Palestinian rights. He warns that the Arab world, weakened and divided, may find it challenging to oppose Israeli advances, especially given the lack of a unified response to the ongoing violence in Gaza.
Future Scenarios for Al-Aqsa and Jerusalem
Looking ahead, analysts foresee a potential shift in the status quo at the Al-Aqsa Mosque, a site of profound religious significance for both Muslims and Jews. Halsa indicates that Trump may support measures that allow for greater Jewish access to the site, which could include a formal division of the mosque's space. This scenario, he argues, would represent a significant concession to Israeli right-wing factions and could exacerbate tensions in the region.
Political analyst Rasem Obeidat echoes these concerns, asserting that Trump's policies will align closely with Israeli interests, undermining international law and Palestinian rights. He suggests that Trump's administration may provide even more robust support for Israel than the previous Biden administration, further complicating the situation in Jerusalem and increasing the likelihood of conflict. As both Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu navigate their political landscapes, the future of Jerusalem remains precarious, with potential consequences for regional stability and peace efforts.
