Hezbollah's targeting strategy reflects a calculated approach to weaken Israel's resolve without direct confrontation.
The potential for U.S. intervention under the Trump administration could shift the dynamics of the conflict.
The psychological impact of missile strikes on Israeli society is a significant aspect of Hezbollah's strategy.
Continued missile exchanges may escalate tensions in the region, prompting international diplomatic efforts.
Hezbollah may increase its use of drones and other technology to challenge Israeli air defenses further.
The involvement of external powers, including the U.S., could lead to a temporary ceasefire or a new negotiation framework.
Military expert Brigadier General Elias Hanna has analyzed Hezbollah's strategic approach towards Israel, emphasizing that while the Lebanese group cannot destroy the Israeli army, it is targeting Israel's political, social, and economic vulnerabilities. This strategy aims to force Israel to lower its negotiating ambitions in the ongoing conflict. Hanna noted that the 'Haifa-Jerusalem-Tel Aviv' triangle has become a focal point for Hezbollah's operations, although attacks on greater Tel Aviv remain rare and exceptional. He pointed out the asymmetry in power between Hezbollah and the Israeli military, suggesting that neither side can impose its will completely on the other. The conflict is likely to continue until another party, potentially the Donald Trump administration, intervenes to mediate. Furthermore, Hanna highlighted Hezbollah's restraint in using its more advanced missiles, as the group seeks to inflict psychological and economic damage rather than outright destruction. By continuing missile strikes, Hezbollah aims to test the limits of Israel's air defenses and create a sense of insecurity among Israeli citizens, even if the missiles are intercepted. This strategy includes the use of drones to instill fear, as they are harder to shoot down. Recently, a missile targeting the 'Tsifrin' base near Ben Gurion Airport fell and caused damage, underscoring the ongoing threat posed by Hezbollah despite the interception of some projectiles.
