The capture of Aleppo by rebel forces represents a significant shift in the Syrian conflict, potentially altering the balance of power in the region.
Iran's potential troop deployment could escalate tensions further, drawing in additional regional and international actors into the conflict.
The ongoing clashes highlight the complex interplay of local, regional, and international interests in Syria, with Turkey, Iran, and Russia each pursuing their strategic objectives.
If Iran decides to deploy troops, it may lead to an intensified conflict in Syria, potentially drawing in more foreign powers and complicating peace efforts.
The SNA's offensive towards Manbij could lead to further territorial losses for Kurdish forces, reshaping the control dynamics in northern Syria.
Continued advances by HTS and other rebel groups may provoke a stronger military response from both Iran and Russia, leading to a protracted conflict.
The ongoing conflict in Syria has escalated significantly, particularly following the recent advances made by Islamist rebels from the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) group. The rebels have captured the strategic city of Aleppo and are now targeting Hama, with reports indicating that at least 27 people have died in recent clashes around Hama, including both government troops and civilians. The Syrian National Army (SNA), backed by Turkey, is preparing for an offensive towards Manbij, currently held by Kurdish forces, indicating a potential shift in control over key regions in northern Syria.
Iran has expressed a willingness to deploy troops to Syria should the Damascus government formally request assistance. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Aragchi stated that Tehran would consider such a request, marking a potential escalation in Iran's military involvement in the region. Historically, Iran has maintained a strong presence in Syria through its Al-Quds Force and various allied militias, although it has not officially deployed its army on Syrian soil until now.
The situation remains fluid, with Iranian-backed militias reportedly moving towards Aleppo to support the Assad regime against the advancing rebels. Iranian officials have emphasized their commitment to assist the Syrian government, while also denying direct command over regional proxy forces. The conflict's dynamics are further complicated by the involvement of Russia, which continues to support Assad's regime through military presence and strategic discussions.