Rapid Support Forces in Sudan: A Campaign of Violence and Political Strategy
Recent attacks by Sudan's Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in Al-Jazeera State have raised alarms among observers and experts, who suggest that these violent actions extend beyond mere revenge for the defection of their leader, Abu Aqla Kikil. The RSF's operations, which began on October 21, have reportedly resulted in over 300 deaths, numerous injuries, and significant displacement of civilians across six cities and 58 villages. Activist Omar Al-Badr highlighted the severe humanitarian impact, noting that the RSF's actions have included kidnappings, forced displacements, and widespread looting.
In a statement, the RSF characterized the violence as clashes with armed groups supported by the Sudanese army, led by Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan. They accused the army of inciting conflict by arming local resistance groups. This shift in narrative suggests a strategic repositioning by the RSF in light of recent military setbacks, as they adapt their tactics to regain control and influence in the region.
Strategic military analyst Osama Eidrous indicated that the RSF is now pursuing a broader military strategy aimed at destabilizing the Sudanese army's control over key areas, including El Fasher in Darfur and advancing towards Port Sudan. The RSF's operations are seen as a tactical maneuver to secure supply lines and mobilize forces in response to the army's recent gains.
Military expert Ibrahim Aqil Madibo further elaborated on the RSF's intentions, suggesting that their actions are designed to undermine the army's support and provoke a psychological impact on the Sudanese populace. He warned that these violent tactics may be part of a larger agenda tied to international intervention in Sudan, potentially jeopardizing the country's sovereignty.
Political analyst Faisal Abdul Karim emphasized that the RSF's campaign is not only about military control but also aims to manipulate humanitarian crises to attract international attention and intervention, especially ahead of an upcoming report by UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres. This complex interplay of military, political, and psychological strategies underscores the precarious situation in Sudan, where ongoing violence continues to threaten the stability and security of the region.
