The political deadlock in Sudan is deeply rooted in historical divisions among political parties, which have been exacerbated by the ongoing conflict between the army and RSF.
The inability of political factions to unite for a common purpose has led to a protracted war, with civilians suffering the most.
Future dialogue efforts may need to prioritize humanitarian concerns and a commitment to national unity over partisan ambitions.
If the current political polarization continues, Sudan may face prolonged instability, with the potential for further violence and humanitarian crises.
A breakthrough in negotiations could occur if influential leaders prioritize national unity and ceasefire over partisan interests, but this remains uncertain given the current climate.
Continued international pressure and mediation efforts may be necessary to facilitate dialogue and reconciliation among the warring factions.
Sudan has been embroiled in a protracted conflict for 18 months, with the army clashing against the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). The political landscape remains fragmented, with various factions supporting either military or civilian leadership, complicating peace efforts.
The Forces of Freedom and Change - Central Council, once part of the ruling coalition, has formed a new alliance with civilian groups, aiming to mediate between the conflicting parties. However, this coalition faces criticism for perceived alliances with the RSF.
Efforts to achieve a political consensus have been hindered by deep divisions, with groups such as the Alliance of Radical Change Forces advocating for a complete overhaul of the regime, while others support the military.
Recent conferences in Cairo and Addis Ababa have attempted to address the crisis, but significant factions boycotted these discussions, indicating a lack of willingness to compromise.
Analysts suggest that the failure to negotiate a comprehensive political solution stems from a refusal to acknowledge internal factors fueling the conflict, with some factions viewing the war as an external aggression.
