Deteriorating Russian-Syrian Relations
Recent insights from Russian analyst Andrei Ontikov reveal a troubling shift in the perception of Russian forces in Syria. Once viewed as liberators, Russians are now seen as occupiers by many Syrians, fostering feelings of suspicion and bitterness. The analyst notes that the once-solid partnership between Russia and Syria is weakening due to ongoing political and economic turmoil, which has led to widespread dissatisfaction among the Syrian populace.
Ontikov highlights that Russia's military achievements have been limited to eliminating terrorist threats in Idlib, while the political landscape remains complicated by alliances with Turkey. This division of Syria into areas of influence controlled by the U.S., Turkey, and Russia has only increased resentment among the Syrian people.
Economic Crisis and Political Implications
The dire economic situation in Syria exacerbates these tensions. With approximately 55% of the population facing food insecurity, compounded by U.S. and European sanctions, the Syrian people are increasingly frustrated with their government and its allies. Ontikov emphasizes that despite Russia's military presence, there are no signs of resolution to the ongoing crisis, which has persisted for over 13 years.
As the international community's interest in rebuilding Syria wanes, the prospect of reconciliation between Turkey and Syria remains bleak. With millions of Syrian refugees in Turkey and the complexities of returning them to a war-torn country, the future of Russian influence in Syria hangs in the balance. Ontikov warns that should the situation continue to deteriorate, Syria may seek alternative alliances, potentially with the United States, marking a significant geopolitical defeat for Russia.
