The military tactics employed by both Israel and Hezbollah reflect a broader strategy of psychological warfare, aiming to boost morale among their respective supporters while negotiating a ceasefire.
The situation in Lebanon is indicative of the complex interplay between military action and diplomatic efforts, highlighting the challenges of achieving lasting peace in the region.
The announcement of a ceasefire by President Biden may lead to a temporary reduction in hostilities, but underlying tensions between Israel and Hezbollah are likely to persist, potentially leading to future conflicts.
The military posturing by both sides could set the stage for renewed negotiations, but the effectiveness of these talks will depend on the willingness of both parties to compromise.
Military expert Brigadier General Elias Hanna has stated that both Israel and Hezbollah are attempting to project an image of victory as they approach a potential ceasefire. This strategy, referred to as 'emptying the cannon', involves both sides intensifying their military actions to demonstrate strength before halting hostilities. In recent days, Israel has targeted central Beirut, issuing evacuation warnings to minimize civilian casualties while aiming to destroy Hezbollah's infrastructure. Concurrently, Hezbollah has launched a series of missile strikes across various regions of Israel, showcasing its operational capabilities and presence.
Hanna noted that Israel's military repositioning, particularly the withdrawal from the village of Bayada to Shamaa, suggests a strategic maneuvering aimed at negotiating terms for a ceasefire. The Israeli army's claims of reaching the Litani River are seen as a demonstration of military reach rather than a permanent occupation, given the area's lack of civilian population and Hezbollah presence.
On the ground, recent attacks have escalated, with Israel conducting strikes in Beirut and Hezbollah responding with missile launches, including interceptions reported in Haifa. Amidst these developments, US President Joe Biden is expected to announce a ceasefire in Lebanon later tonight, as confirmed by Axios.
