The ongoing conflict in the Gaza Strip is shifting towards its third phase, according to military expert Major General Fayez Al-Duwairi. This phase will involve the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) concentrating on targeted operations based on intelligence, particularly in areas surrounding Gaza, such as Netzarim and the Philadelphia axis. These operations aim to capture prisoners, locate resistance leaders, and rebuild forces.
Al-Duwairi highlighted the reduction in the number of intelligence personnel by the occupation army, indicating a shift from reliance on technology to ground forces due to the resistance's steadfastness. This change underscores the failure of the previous strategy that maximized technology and air force over ground troops.
As the conflict in Gaza approaches its third phase, the IDF is also preparing for potential threats from Hezbollah in Lebanon. Several scenarios are being considered, including intelligence-based targeted attacks and the movement of divisions to the north to deter Hezbollah. The Israeli government faces dilemmas on whether to engage in all-out war or seek diplomatic solutions.
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has called on Israel to avoid escalating the conflict in Lebanon and emphasized the importance of diplomatic solutions. Blinken stressed the need for humanitarian aid to Gaza and discussed security, governance, and reconstruction post-conflict. The meeting with Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant highlighted the importance of US-Israel cooperation and the return of hostages held by Hamas.
The conflict has led to significant displacement in southern Lebanon and northern Israel due to exchanges of fire between the Israeli army and Hezbollah. Amidst these tensions, there have been regular demonstrations in Tel Aviv against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's handling of the war and calls for early elections.
- The current phase of the conflict in Gaza is characterized by a strategic shift from technological reliance to ground operations. This change is driven by the resistance's ability to counter technological surveillance and the need for more effective intelligence-based raids.
- The IDF's preparation for potential conflict with Hezbollah involves multiple scenarios, each with significant risks and strategic considerations. The Israeli government must weigh the options of engaging in direct conflict or pursuing diplomatic avenues to ensure regional stability.
- Antony Blinken's emphasis on avoiding further escalation and promoting humanitarian aid underscores the US's role in seeking a balanced approach to the conflict. The ongoing diplomatic efforts aim to ensure long-term security and stability in the region, while addressing the immediate humanitarian needs in Gaza.
