The race is closer than many anticipated, with both candidates at 48 percent according to TIPP Insights.
Joe Biden's early voting signals a strategic withdrawal from the campaign, allowing Harris to lead independently.
Early voting trends suggest heightened voter engagement, potentially influencing the election outcome.
The election outcome may depend heavily on swing states, where both candidates are neck-and-neck.
Kamala Harris's ability to distance herself from Biden could be pivotal in the final weeks leading up to the election.
Trump's rising popularity might shift voter perceptions as Election Day approaches.
Close Race Predicted Between Trump and Harris
As the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaches, recent polls indicate a remarkably tight race between Republican candidate Donald Trump and Democratic nominee Kamala Harris. According to TIPP Insights, recognized as the 'most accurate pollster' by the Washington Post in 2020, both candidates are currently tied at 48 percent among likely voters. This survey, conducted from October 23 to 25, involved 1,333 participants and carries a margin of error of 2.7 percent. Trump's upward momentum in the polls has raised eyebrows, especially given his previous losses against Biden in both the national and electoral votes.
Biden's Early Voting and Harris's Campaign Strategy
In the midst of this competitive landscape, President Joe Biden cast his early ballot in Delaware, marking a significant moment as he steps back from the campaign spotlight. Biden, who has been largely sidelined since announcing his withdrawal from the presidential race in July, did not disclose his vote but is widely believed to have supported Harris. Early voting has surged, with nearly 43 million Americans casting their ballots ahead of the November 5 election, indicating a high level of engagement among voters.
The Electoral College System's Impact on Election Outcomes
The U.S. electoral system plays a crucial role in determining the outcome of presidential elections. Despite the popular vote, the electoral college ultimately decides the winner. A candidate only needs a single electoral vote more than their opponent to secure all of a state's electoral votes. This unique system means that the election will likely hinge on a few key swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, where polls suggest an extremely close contest between Trump and Harris.
