Somaliland Prepares for Crucial Presidential and Party Elections
Somaliland is gearing up for its presidential and political party elections scheduled for November 13, 2024, marking a significant event in the region's political landscape. After a two-year delay due to legal challenges and political disputes, this election is the seventh of its kind in Somaliland's history and comes at a time of heightened political activity both internally and externally. The elections will not only determine the next president but also establish the official political parties in the region, with ten political associations vying for recognition.
The upcoming elections are set against a backdrop of pressing issues, including the defense of Somaliland's sovereignty, internal unity, and the quest for international recognition. Candidates from the ruling party, Kalmiya, and opposition parties, Watani and Aw'ed, are focusing their campaigns on these critical topics, aiming to resonate with the electorate's concerns. The National Elections Commission anticipates a robust voter turnout, with over 1.7 million registered voters, a significant increase from the 704,980 voters in the 2017 elections.
Political Dynamics and Potential Outcomes
The political dynamics in Somaliland are particularly intriguing, as the current elections will shape the political landscape for the next decade. The competition is fierce, with the ruling Kalmiya party facing challenges from the opposition, particularly Watani, which has seen a surge in popularity following the last parliamentary elections. Analysts predict two possible scenarios for the upcoming presidential race: a potential victory for the opposition or attempts by the ruling party to manipulate the results.
Political analysts highlight that the opposition's platform, which emphasizes national unity and reconciliation, could appeal to voters disillusioned with the ruling party's performance. Conversely, the ruling Kalmiya party's failure to address local conflicts and its controversial memorandum of understanding with Ethiopia could lead to significant electoral losses. The elections are not just a political event but a reflection of the region's aspirations for stability and recognition on the international stage.