Netanyahu's Strategic Move for a Ceasefire in Lebanon
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is reportedly preparing a ceasefire plan in Lebanon, aiming to present it as a diplomatic 'gift' to President-elect Donald Trump. This initiative comes as part of a broader strategy to secure an early foreign policy victory for Trump, as outlined in a recent Washington Post report. Israeli officials have indicated that discussions are ongoing, with expectations that an agreement could be reached by January. The proposed ceasefire would require Hezbollah to withdraw north of the Litani River, with the Lebanese army taking control of the border area for an initial period of 60 days under US and British supervision.
Conditions and Implications of the Proposed Agreement
The ceasefire plan includes significant conditions aimed at disarming Hezbollah and establishing a buffer zone in southern Lebanon. Israeli Defense Minister Yisrael Katz emphasized that Israel will not accept any settlement that does not achieve these goals. The proposal also involves cooperation from Russia to prevent Hezbollah from rearming through Syrian routes. While Netanyahu is engaging with both the Trump administration and the current Biden administration, there is a clear indication that he is prioritizing his relationship with Trump, potentially sidelining Biden's influence in the negotiations.
Lebanon's Response and International Dynamics
On the Lebanese side, officials have expressed a commitment to Resolution 1701, which calls for the disarmament of militias and the establishment of peace along the border. Lebanese leaders, including caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati, have rejected any conditions that would violate this resolution. As the situation develops, the involvement of international mediators, particularly from the US and UK, will be crucial in shaping the outcome of these negotiations. The ongoing conflict has already resulted in significant casualties and displacement within Lebanon, highlighting the urgent need for a resolution.
