Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is facing mounting pressure amid escalating violence in Gaza and a proposed ceasefire deal from US President Joe Biden. The ongoing conflict has raised concerns about Netanyahu's political survival, especially in light of his past corruption charges and recent military actions in Lebanon.
The theory of political survival suggests that leaders prioritize their hold on power, influencing their policy decisions. Netanyahu's recent military operations, including the assassination of key figures like Hezbollah's Hassan Nasrallah, indicate a strategy aimed at maintaining his political position rather than seeking peace.
Despite public calls for a ceasefire, Netanyahu's far-right allies threaten to destabilize his government if he pursues peace negotiations. This tension highlights the precarious balance Netanyahu must maintain between appeasing his coalition and addressing the humanitarian crisis in Gaza.
The outcomes of the upcoming US elections could significantly impact Netanyahu's future. A victory for Kamala Harris may lead to increased pressure for a resolution in Gaza, while a Trump win could provide Netanyahu with the political backing to continue his hardline approach. The intersection of Israeli politics and US foreign policy remains crucial as the region grapples with escalating tensions.