Military Expert Analyzes Current Conflict in Gaza and Lebanon
Brigadier General Elias Hanna, a military expert, has shared insights regarding the ongoing conflict in the Gaza Strip and Lebanon, suggesting that the war is likely to remain confined to these two areas. He emphasized that Iran has indicated it will not retaliate against recent Israeli attacks, which may shape the future dynamics of the region. According to Hanna, the United States is strategically managing the conflict to reshape geopolitical relations in the Middle East, allowing Israel operational freedom in Gaza and Lebanon while controlling the situation concerning Iran.
New Deterrence Landscape in the Middle East
Hanna explained that the current military operations are occurring in three distinct theaters: operational in Gaza, strategic in Lebanon, and geostrategic in Iran. He noted that a new state of deterrence is evolving, as Iran has demonstrated its capability to strike deep into Israel, while Israel has shown it can reach Iran's borders. This new balance of power could potentially lead to a cessation of hostilities, as Iran has downplayed the impact of Israeli strikes and signaled a reluctance to respond aggressively.
The Ground Reality and Tactical Developments
On the ground in Lebanon, Hanna pointed out that Israeli forces are struggling to penetrate southern Lebanese villages due to Hezbollah's strong defensive capabilities. He characterized the current military situation as a stalemate, where neither side has achieved definitive gains. In Gaza, the situation remains dire, with resistance fighters focusing on defending key areas like Jabalia, employing guerrilla tactics to counter Israeli forces. The Ezzedine al-Qassam Brigades, Hamas's military wing, has actively engaged Israeli troops, claiming successful attacks against vehicles and tanks in the region.
