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Macron Dissolves Assembly; Polls Predict Surge for National Rally as Europe Votes

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French President Macron dissolves the National Assembly, prompting early elections. Polls predict a surge for the National Rally. Meanwhile, European elections could reshape the Parliament and Commission leadership.


Macron Announces Dissolution of National Assembly Amid European Elections

In a surprising move, French President Emmanuel Macron announced the dissolution of the National Assembly following the initial results of the European elections. The impending legislative elections are scheduled for June 30 and July 7. This decision has prompted political parties to step up their campaigns amidst fluctuating poll results.

Poll Predictions: National Rally Leads in France

Recent polls commissioned by Les Républicains indicate a win for the National Rally (RN), which is predicted to secure between 243 and 305 seats, potentially obtaining an absolute majority in the Assembly. In contrast, the presidential majority may only gain between 117 and 165 seats, and the Nupes could see a significant drop, with predictions suggesting they will hold between 55 and 79 seats. These results highlight a pivotal shift in the French political landscape.

European Parliament Elections: Shaping Future Leadership

Simultaneously, the European elections display a complex dynamic. Polls in Spain show the Popular Party (PP) maintaining a lead with 33-34% of the vote, followed by PSOE at 30%. This election is crucial as it determines control over the European Parliament, responsible for community laws and the European Commission presidency. The European People's Party (EPP) is anticipated to be the largest group in the chamber, followed by Social Democrats and other key political forces. The formation of coalitions will be vital in deciding the next steps for the European Parliament.

In addition, a notable rise in right-wing support across Europe has been observed, with these forces doubling their support over a decade. This trend reflects broader shifts in voter sentiment and political alignment within the continent.

  • On the left side of the political spectrum in France, discussions are ongoing to form a 'useful gathering,' as leftist figures seek to consolidate forces before the legislative elections. Reconquest leader Marion Maréchal has also called for a union of the right.
  • Amid these national developments, global attention is also on the European elections. Detailed analyses and projections provide insights into potential coalitions and their implications for European governance. Projections for the European Parliament suggest various possible majority formations, emphasizing the strategic importance of coalition-building.
  • The recent electoral shifts are indicative of changing political dynamics not only in France but across Europe. These changes are expected to influence policy-making and governance on a broad scale, affecting both national and international contexts.
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Refs: | EL PAÍS | Le Parisien |

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