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Hezbollah and Israel: A Long and Complex Battle Unfolds Amid Strategic Miscalculations

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Explore the ongoing conflict between Hezbollah and Israel as military expert Mohammed Al-Samadi analyzes strategies, the role of force, and recent escalations, including the assassination of key leaders.


Analysis of the Ongoing Conflict Between Hezbollah and Israel

Retired Major General Mohammed Al-Samadi, a military and strategic expert, has provided insights into the escalating conflict between Hezbollah and Israel, suggesting that the current battle may be prolonged due to Hezbollah's flawed strategy. According to Al-Samadi, the Israeli government only comprehends the language of force, which is influencing its military responses and tactics. He emphasizes that Israel is utilizing missile attacks to portray itself as a victim, thereby seeking enhanced political and military support from its allies.

Israel's military strategy involves targeting Hezbollah's critical infrastructures, such as weapons depots, launch pads, and logistical supply lines, particularly in the Bekaa Valley and along the Syrian border. Al-Samadi notes that the Israeli forces are also engaging in systematic assassinations of key Hezbollah military leaders. Despite these aggressive tactics, there remains a breach in Israeli intelligence regarding Hezbollah's command and control systems, which may prevent a full-scale war for the time being.

The expert highlights that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu aims to gradually diminish Hezbollah's combat capabilities, leading to increased violence and destruction of infrastructure. Conversely, Hezbollah is reportedly escalating its operations in a calculated manner, but Al-Samadi criticizes this approach as ineffective, asserting that a more forceful response is necessary to establish deterrence against Israel. He points to Hezbollah's advanced military arsenal, including cruise missiles and anti-tank systems, as potential game-changers if deployed effectively.

Al-Samadi also speculates on the influence of Tehran in Hezbollah's operational decisions, suggesting that the pace of military actions may be dictated by Iranian directives. He warns that the deployment of special forces into the Upper Galilee could compel Israel to reassess its military strategies seriously. He describes the ongoing conflict not merely as a war but as a systematic ethnic cleansing campaign, where the occupation army engages in killings without genuine combat.

The recent assassination of Ibrahim Aqil, the head of Hezbollah's operations, further escalates tensions, as he was a key planner of Hezbollah's strategies aimed at targeting Israeli territories. This incident mirrors tactics employed by Hamas during their recent attacks, highlighting the interconnected nature of these conflicts.

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