Factors Behind the Collapse of the Syrian Army in Homs
The recent collapse of the Syrian army in the face of opposition factions has raised significant questions regarding military strategies and alliances. Following a swift offensive that began on November 27, 2024, opposition forces quickly gained control of key areas, including the city of Homs, just nine days into the conflict. The opposition's military tactics, characterized by effective coordination and the use of advanced technology, played a crucial role in their success.
Confusion and Lack of Support from Russia
A pivotal factor contributing to the Syrian army's downfall was the confusion stemming from Russia's ambiguous stance. Syrian diplomats revealed that the government sought clarity from the Russian Foreign Ministry regarding the situation but received vague assurances that the conflict would not extend beyond previously established boundaries. This uncertainty led to a lack of adequate Russian air support, leaving the Syrian forces vulnerable. Reports indicated that the Russian air sorties were limited, compelling the Syrian army to rely on outdated aircraft, further diminishing their operational effectiveness.
Tactical Superiority of Opposition Forces
The opposition factions demonstrated a clear tactical advantage over the Syrian army. They successfully infiltrated military units around Aleppo, utilizing sleeper cells to execute strategic strikes, including the assassination of Iranian General Kiomars Pour Hamshi. Furthermore, the opposition's recruitment of younger fighters, coupled with their training in modern warfare techniques, contrasted sharply with the aging Syrian forces. The use of locally-developed drones, known as "Shaheen," significantly impacted the government forces' supply lines and morale, showcasing the opposition's innovative approach to warfare.