The successful military operation by the Syrian opposition indicates a significant shift in the balance of power within Syria, reflecting the cumulative effects of prolonged conflict and external geopolitical dynamics.
The withdrawal of Hezbollah and the preoccupation of Russia with the Ukraine conflict have created a power vacuum that the Syrian opposition has effectively exploited, showcasing the fragility of the Assad regime.
Turkey's strategic gains in Syria highlight its increasing influence in the region, particularly in countering Kurdish power and limiting Iranian presence.
The fall of Bashar al-Assad could lead to a reconfiguration of power dynamics in Syria, with potential implications for regional stability and the future of Syrian governance.
Increased Turkish influence may lead to further military operations aimed at consolidating control over Kurdish areas, potentially escalating tensions with Kurdish groups.
The ongoing conflict may see a resurgence of international involvement as various powers reassess their strategies in light of the changing situation in Syria.
The Syrian opposition, led by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham and the Syrian National Army, successfully executed a military operation that resulted in the capture of key cities including Damascus, Hama, Homs, and Aleppo, marking the end of over five decades of Bashar al-Assad's rule. This operation, which began two weeks ago, was reportedly communicated to Turkey six months prior, suggesting tacit approval from Ankara.
The operation, named Operation Deterrence of Aggression, was strategically timed to exploit the weaknesses of the Syrian regime and its allies. Factors contributing to the regime's vulnerability included a demoralized army suffering from corruption and supply shortages, as well as the withdrawal of Hezbollah forces due to the conflict in Lebanon.
Turkey's role as a primary supporter of the Syrian opposition has solidified, positioning it as a key external power in Syria. This shift has allowed Ankara to reduce Kurdish influence and diminish Iranian power in the region, while the U.S. has distanced itself from any explicit knowledge of Turkish approval for the operation.
