Syrian Army's Retreat Amidst Opposition Gains
The Syrian National Army has witnessed significant territorial gains since the launch of the 'Deterrence of Aggression' operation on October 27, 2024. Following a series of rapid advances, opposition forces have taken control of key areas, including the city of Aleppo and strategic locations such as Aleppo International Airport and Kuweires Airport. This swift progress has raised questions regarding the readiness and effectiveness of the Syrian regime forces, which have suffered from a notable collapse in leadership and morale, allowing opposition fighters to enter Aleppo with minimal resistance.
Advancements in Opposition Military Capabilities
The opposition forces have demonstrated considerable improvements in their military capabilities, becoming more organized and disciplined over recent years. Enhanced local manufacturing of weapons, including armored personnel carriers and advanced night-fighting technology, has played a crucial role in their success. The use of drones, particularly the 'Shaheen' models, has allowed opposition forces to conduct targeted strikes against regime leadership and military assets, contributing to the regime's disarray. Reports indicate that opposition forces have seized significant quantities of advanced weaponry, including anti-tank and anti-aircraft missiles, further bolstering their operational capabilities.
Factors Behind the Regime's Collapse
The rapid decline of the Syrian regime forces can be attributed to several factors, including a lack of air support from Russia, which has been diverted to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. This absence of air cover has left the regime vulnerable, exacerbated by internal issues such as high defection rates and poor economic conditions among troops. Military analysts suggest that the regime's reliance on sectarian militias has further weakened its operational effectiveness. In contrast, the opposition forces are fueled by high morale and a strong ideological commitment to reclaiming their territories, significantly impacting the ongoing conflict dynamics.
