Tensions and Uncertainties Surrounding Gaza’s Future Amid Ongoing Conflict
In a detailed interview with ABC News, US President Joe Biden reflected on conversations with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu about the military operations in Rafah, Gaza. Biden emphasized that Netanyahu had listened to US concerns, which initially planned for a full-force invasion but moved towards a significant agreement instead. This move is viewed as part of broader efforts to balance military actions with geopolitical stability.
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have continued striking targets associated with Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, reportedly targeting facilities in Jabal Rezlane, Ramyeh, and Kfarkela. This wave of operations reflects ongoing regional tensions and the broader implications of the Gaza conflict.
Adding to these complexities, the Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich reiterated his call for Israeli settlements in Gaza post-conflict. He emphasized that areas without settlements lack security, reinforcing his radical stance and highlighting internal political pressures within Israel.
Qatar has threatened to close the Hamas political office in Doha if the group does not accept a proposed ceasefire agreement by the US and Israel. This push forms part of a broader US strategy to involve regional powers like Egypt and Türkiye in pressuring Hamas towards a ceasefire, including threats to freeze bank accounts and restrict travel of Hamas members.
While the Pentagon announced the recommissioning of a temporary pier for aid delivery in Gaza, the humanitarian toll continues to rise with reported deaths reaching 36,731 as announced by the Hamas Ministry of Health. Amidst these developments, the Israeli Cabinet, led by Netanyahu’s administration, has deferred any investigations into the October 7 Hamas attack, citing ongoing conflict.
US-Israel Relations Under Scrutiny
In light of these dynamics, a CIA assessment has shed light on Netanyahu’s stance and potential strategies. The report suggests that Netanyahu likely believes he can sidestep defining a post-war plan for Gaza while maintaining support from his security chiefs and avoiding defections from the right-wing factions of his coalition. This perspective marks a shift in how the Biden administration views Israel, viewing it more as an unpredictable entity needing close observation.
Further highlighting these tensions, Netanyahu has faced mounting pressure both domestically and internationally. The Biden administration has openly criticized Netanyahu, particularly as civilian casualties in Gaza escalate due to Israel's military actions. Despite these pressures, Netanyahu remains unyielding, aiming to meet key security benchmarks, including the elimination of Hamas military commanders like Mohammed Deif, before engaging in post-war discourse.
Currently, the US is spearheading negotiations, with CIA Director Bill Burns leading talks aimed at establishing a truce and facilitating the release of hostages. However, there is evident reluctance from both Israeli and Hamas sides to fully commit to a US-proposed three-front peace deal. Meanwhile, Secretary of State Antony Blinken is expected to visit Israel to further negotiations.
- Speaking at an event in Nitzan, southern Israel, Bezalel Smotrich underscored the need for building religious centers and settlements in places like 'Gush Katif', reflecting the deep-seated ideological inclinations within certain factions of the Israeli government. This stance personifies the internal challenges Netanyahu faces from radical elements within his governance.
- In response to the request for a state commission of inquiry into the government’s handling of the October 7 Hamas attack, Netanyahu’s Cabinet Secretary Yossi Fuchs stated that it was premature to investigate amid an ongoing war. This decision has drawn criticism as it appears as an attempt to evade accountability.