The Israeli plan to isolate Hezbollah and Hamas may not achieve its intended goals due to the complex nature of regional politics.
The involvement of the United States as a monitoring body could lead to increased pressure on both the Lebanese state and Hezbollah, potentially skewing the agreement in Israel's favor.
The reluctance of Israeli settlers to return home indicates ongoing security concerns and a lack of confidence in the ceasefire's effectiveness.
The ceasefire may lead to a temporary reduction in hostilities, but underlying tensions between Israel and Hezbollah are likely to persist.
Hezbollah may find new ways to support Palestinian resistance, potentially leading to further conflict in the region.
The role of the United States in monitoring the agreement could influence future negotiations and military actions in the area.
Political analysts predict that Israel's strategy to separate the Lebanese front from the Gaza Strip and neutralize Hezbollah will likely fail. Despite the Israeli government's announcement of a ceasefire agreement with Lebanon, experts believe that Hezbollah will continue to support Palestinian resistance in Gaza through alternative means. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that the ceasefire aims to focus on the threat posed by Iran and to isolate Hamas, but analysts argue that the situation is more complex than it appears. Hadi Qabisi, a political researcher, noted that Israeli settlers in northern regions are reluctant to return home, demanding a military presence in southern Lebanon instead, which reflects ongoing tensions. Ahmed Al-Hila, another analyst, emphasized that while a ceasefire may temporarily separate fronts, Hezbollah's commitment to the Palestinian cause remains strong. The agreement, viewed by some as primarily an American initiative, includes a 60-day transitional period where Israeli forces will withdraw from southern Lebanon, replaced by Lebanese army forces, with Hezbollah expected to relocate its heavy weapons north of the Litani River. However, challenges remain for the Lebanese army, particularly in managing relations with Hezbollah post-agreement.
- The proposed agreement includes an international monitoring committee led by the United States to oversee its implementation, which could complicate the dynamics between Lebanon and Israel further.
