The potential shift in US foreign policy under Trump could lead to increased reliance on European nations to support Ukraine militarily.
The nomination of Rubio and Waltz indicates a continuation of a hardline approach towards foreign adversaries, which may affect international relations, particularly with Russia and China.
If Trump cuts aid to Ukraine, European nations may increase their military spending and cooperation to fill the gap left by the US.
The geopolitical landscape could shift significantly if Trump's administration adopts a more isolationist stance, impacting NATO's unity and effectiveness.
Donald Trump's potential election victory has raised concerns in Europe, particularly regarding the future of support for Ukraine. SPD foreign policy expert Nils Schmid has emphasized that Europe must prepare to support Ukraine independently if Trump follows through on his threat to cut aid. He suggests that Germany and the EU could buy weapons from the US and provide them to Ukraine, ensuring that the country can continue to defend itself against Russian aggression. Schmid believes that the economic power of the EU and the UK is sufficient to sustain support for Ukraine, even in the absence of American aid.
In the US, Trump is reportedly planning to nominate Senator Marco Rubio as Secretary of State and Congressman Mike Waltz as National Security Advisor. Rubio's hawkish stance on foreign policy, particularly regarding China and Iran, aligns with Trump's approach. Waltz's known positions against NATO and China suggest a shift in US foreign policy priorities, which could have implications for ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the situation in Ukraine and the Middle East.
- The SPD's Schmid argues that the EU must not allow Ukraine to falter, as doing so would embolden Putin's aggression. He stresses the importance of using American military capacities even if direct aid from the US is reduced, highlighting the need for European nations to adapt their defense strategies accordingly.