The recent military actions by the Syrian opposition indicate a possible shift in the balance of power within the region, influenced by external factors such as Hezbollah's diminished capabilities and the changing focus of Western military support.
The involvement of Western powers in supporting the Syrian opposition could signal a strategic pivot in the ongoing conflict, potentially complicating the situation for the Syrian regime and its allies.
The potential for increased military confrontations in Aleppo and Idlib raises concerns about the humanitarian impact on civilians in these already war-torn areas.
If the Syrian opposition continues to gain ground, it may lead to a prolonged conflict in the region, drawing in further international involvement and complicating peace efforts.
The Russian military's response to the opposition's advances could escalate tensions, potentially leading to a more significant military engagement in Syria.
The situation may prompt a reassessment of strategies by both the Syrian regime and its allies, as well as the opposition factions, in light of the changing dynamics on the ground.
Forces affiliated with Hayat Tahrir al-Sham have engaged in significant clashes with the Syrian regime in Aleppo and Idlib, marking a notable shift in the dynamics of the Syrian conflict. Iraqi military expert Muhannad Al-Azzawi attributes these military movements to several factors, including the weakening of Hezbollah's capabilities following its recent conflict with Israel and the limited operational capacity of Iran within Syria. This situation has emboldened opposition factions to transition from merely holding their territories to actively seeking to reclaim lost ground, particularly in Idlib, where they have reportedly gathered forces that have surprised the Syrian regime.
Al-Azzawi noted that Hezbollah's unofficial presence in these regions, combined with the impact of Israeli strikes on its strength, has created an opportunity for the opposition. Furthermore, reports suggest that Western military support for the Syrian opposition has emerged, aimed at opening a new front against Russia, which is currently preoccupied with the war in Ukraine.
The Syrian opposition has successfully taken control of strategic locations, including the town of Khan al-Assal and several villages in the Aleppo countryside, as part of their newly launched Operation Deterrence of Aggression. This operation has resulted in significant casualties and marks a departure from the months of relative calm in the region, which had only seen sporadic shelling from regime forces.
