Netanyahu's fear of public anger post-war could influence his decision-making.
The Israeli government's internal divisions regarding the war and settlement policies are becoming more pronounced.
Hamas's potential willingness to negotiate may present a critical juncture in the conflict.
If the war continues without resolution, public discontent in Israel may escalate.
A negotiated ceasefire could lead to renewed settlement activities in the West Bank and Gaza.
The fate of the prisoners may become a pivotal issue in Israeli politics moving forward.
Netanyahu's Dilemma: The Day After the War
Israeli media has been abuzz with discussions surrounding Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's growing concerns about the aftermath of the ongoing conflict in Gaza. Analysts suggest that Netanyahu is prolonging the war out of fear of public backlash and accountability, particularly regarding the fate of Israeli prisoners held by Hamas. Reports indicate that the Israeli security services are warning that continuing military operations could jeopardize the lives of these prisoners, with some estimates suggesting that the number of living detainees has decreased significantly in recent months.
Security Concerns and Political Implications
Military analysts, including Nir Dvori from Kan 12, have expressed fears that the ongoing conflict could lead to chaos on the ground, potentially resulting in the deaths of kidnapped soldiers. The situation is further complicated by the belief that Hamas may lose control over the prisoners, raising the stakes for the Israeli government. Channel 13's Alon Ben David noted that security services are increasingly concerned about the dwindling number of prisoners, which is now estimated to be less than half of the original 101.
Calls for Compromise and Settlement
Despite the dire situation, there are indications that Hamas might be willing to negotiate terms for a ceasefire. Political correspondent Yaron Abraham highlighted that recent estimates suggest Hamas is open to compromising on certain parameters, although this does not imply an end to the war. Former Israeli Justice Minister Dan Meridor criticized the government's approach, asserting that Hamas has consistently indicated a willingness to return prisoners in exchange for a halt to hostilities. Meanwhile, Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich's support for settlement expansion in the West Bank and Gaza has been cited as a factor influencing the government's reluctance to pursue a ceasefire agreement.