Netanyahu's Strategy in Gaza: A Tactical Delay
The ongoing conflict in the Gaza Strip continues to be influenced by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's insistence on maintaining control over the Philadelphi Corridor. This demand, framed as a security measure, has been met with resistance from both Hamas and Egypt, suggesting that Netanyahu's primary goal may be to obstruct negotiations rather than to foster a ceasefire. As the war drags on, it appears that Netanyahu is strategically postponing a resolution until after the upcoming U.S. presidential elections, hoping for a favorable shift in political dynamics that could benefit Israel's position in the conflict.
U.S. Presidential Elections: A Game Changer for Israel?
With the U.S. elections just around the corner, Netanyahu's calculations seem to hinge on the potential return of former President Donald Trump to the White House. The Israeli Prime Minister believes that a Trump victory could provide him with more leeway to pursue his objectives in Gaza. However, whether Trump's administration would genuinely support a comprehensive peace process remains uncertain. Both Trump and Kamala Harris, the Democratic candidate, have shown a commitment to Israel, albeit with differing approaches. While Trump may prioritize regional normalization, Harris might adopt a more critical stance towards Israeli policies, especially regarding the Palestinian issue.
The Path Forward: Challenges Beyond the Ceasefire
Even if a temporary ceasefire is achieved, the complexities of post-war arrangements loom large. The risks of regional escalation, particularly concerning Hezbollah, remain a significant concern. The outcome of the U.S. elections will undoubtedly influence the trajectory of the conflict, but historical patterns suggest that American support for Israel will persist regardless of who occupies the Oval Office. The question remains whether a new administration can effectively navigate the intricacies of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and foster a genuine path towards peace.
