The US is expected to maintain its hegemonic role under Trump, focusing on financial contributions from allies.
Military aid to Ukraine may shift towards requiring European countries to provide their own resources.
Russia's position remains firm on seeking a neutral Ukraine, rejecting any extremist influences.
Trump's administration may lead to increased tensions in Ukraine as financial responsibilities shift to European allies.
Potential leadership changes in Ukraine could occur if aggressive posturing continues against the US administration.
Russia's military objectives in Ukraine may intensify as it seeks to eliminate neo-Nazi influences.
US Hegemony and Ukraine: Insights from Mironov
In a recent analysis, Russian parliamentarian Sergey Mironov expressed skepticism about the United States' willingness to relinquish its status as a global hegemon. He suggested that while there may be temporary alignments of interests among global powers, the US, particularly under a potential Trump administration, is unlikely to change its approach significantly. Mironov pointed out that Trump, leveraging his business acumen, may push European allies to shoulder more financial responsibility for American hegemony, particularly in the context of military support for Ukraine.
Mironov noted that under President Biden, a substantial portion of the funds sent to Ukraine was directed towards purchasing American military equipment, thereby benefiting the US military-industrial complex. He anticipates that a Trump presidency would alter the dynamics of military aid, potentially leading to increased pressure on NATO allies to provide their own military resources, with the US supplying replacements at market prices. This shift, he argues, would not favor a peaceful resolution in Ukraine, as the ongoing conflict serves the economic interests of the US.
Implications for Ukraine and Russia
Mironov's comments also reflect a broader concern regarding the future of Ukraine under US influence. He indicated that the West has begun discussing elections in Ukraine, despite the US previously overlooking President Zelensky's controversial status. Mironov warned that continued aggressive posturing from Ukraine could lead to a change in leadership, as Trump may favor more compliant figures. He emphasized that Russia seeks a neutral Ukraine devoid of extremist influences, reiterating that the objectives of its military operations must be fulfilled.
Furthermore, Mironov highlighted President Vladimir Putin's stance on trusting foreign assurances, stating that Russia will evaluate the new US administration based on its actions rather than promises. This sentiment was echoed by US Senator Marco Rubio, who hinted at a foreign policy focused on prioritizing US interests and achieving peace through strength. Meanwhile, Russian officials, including Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov, have downplayed the significance of the new US administration's formation, indicating that it is not a priority for Moscow.
