The rejection of the judicial reform proposal by the Supreme Court emphasizes the ongoing power struggle between the Mexican government and the judiciary, particularly regarding the independence of the judicial system.
The ruling party's willingness to mobilize public support against the Supreme Court's decisions indicates a potential escalation of political tensions and civil unrest in Mexico.
The implications of the Court's ruling could significantly affect investor confidence and the stability of Mexico's economy, should the government choose to ignore judicial mandates.
If the government continues to disregard the Supreme Court's rulings, it may lead to widespread protests and civil disobedience, challenging the rule of law in Mexico.
The ongoing tensions could result in a constitutional crisis, prompting calls for judicial reform or even changes in government structure.
Investor confidence could wane if the political climate remains unstable, potentially impacting Mexico's economic growth and international relations.
On November 5, 2024, Mexico's Supreme Court rejected a draft ruling that aimed to partially invalidate a significant judicial reform, after failing to secure the required eight votes from its eleven justices. The proposal, presented by Minister Juan Luis González Alcántara, sought to maintain the popular election of Supreme Court ministers and electoral magistrates while allowing district judges to be elected via a staggered promotion mechanism. The rejection was led by justices aligned with the ruling party, Morena, indicating a deepening divide between the government and the judiciary.
The political atmosphere in Mexico has become increasingly tense, with the ruling party expressing readiness to challenge any unfavorable decisions from the Supreme Court. President Claudia Sheinbaum and Senate President Gerardo Fernández Noroña have publicly stated their intention to uphold the judicial reform, asserting that the Court does not possess the authority to alter constitutional amendments. This conflict raises concerns about a potential constitutional crisis, as the ruling party threatens to disregard the Court's authority if it rules against the reform.
The judicial reform, enacted on September 15, 2024, aims to enhance the electoral process for judges, reflecting a significant shift in the Mexican judicial system. However, the Supreme Court's decision not to validate the reform's challenges has sparked fears of undermining judicial independence and the separation of powers, as noted by Alcántara in his draft ruling.
