As the July 28 elections approach, President Nicolás Maduro faces intense scrutiny and opposition. Despite seeking a third term, Maduro has refused to discuss negotiation or transition with the majority opposition. He has vowed not to hand over military command to an 'oligarch,' fueling uncertainty and debate about the outcome of his twelve-year government.
Maduro's main rival, Edmundo González Urrutia, supported by the disqualified María Corina Machado, leads the polls by over 60 points. This duo has gained significant traction on the streets, projecting González as the likely winner. In response, Maduro has intensified his attacks against the opposition and hinted at possible military insurrection if he loses.
Enrique Márquez, a candidate with less than 1% in the polls, warned that Chavismo might be planning a 'dirty play' to disqualify González's candidacy. Both González and Machado have expressed a willingness to negotiate with Maduro for an orderly transition, predicting that anti-Chavismo will overwhelmingly support González.
Maduro's rhetoric aims to sow fear and uncertainty, potentially demobilizing the opposition vote. Political analysts suggest that his strategy is to convey that voting is futile because he will not relinquish power. However, some political leaders believe that Maduro will eventually hand over power, albeit reluctantly, as mandated by the Constitution.
The fate of Maduro and his entourage remains uncertain if he loses the presidency. Rumors suggest he might seek refuge in luxurious locations like Punta Cana in the Dominican Republic or Turkey, where he allegedly has significant bank accounts.
Meanwhile, the opposition campaign faces severe retaliation. Edmundo González's team reported multiple arrests and closures of establishments that supported their campaign. Lawyers from the Con Venezuela campaign command have warned about attacks on those contributing to their electoral activities and plan to denounce these actions before the National Electoral Council (CNE).
The Venezuelan NGO Foro Penal reported additional arrests, including a singer-songwriter supporting María Corina Machado. Despite these challenges, the opposition remains determined, urging the CNE to ensure fair competition.
