Iraq Plans Withdrawal of US Troops Amid Regional Tensions
In a significant shift, Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani has announced plans to withdraw American forces from Iraq, signaling a new phase in Iraq's security landscape. Speaking during an interview with Bloomberg TV, al-Sudani stated that the presence of US troops is no longer necessary, given the successful defeat of the Islamic State (ISIS). He indicated that a timetable for the withdrawal would be announced soon, reflecting a broader strategy to redefine Iraq's military relationships and sovereignty.
According to sources cited by Reuters, the withdrawal plan includes a phased exit of hundreds of troops from the US-led coalition by September 2025, with the remaining forces scheduled to leave by the end of 2026. This agreement, which has been largely finalized, awaits official approval from both the Iraqi and US governments. The announcement had been delayed due to escalating regional tensions linked to the ongoing conflict in Gaza and the need to finalize operational details. The potential withdrawal represents a political victory for al-Sudani, who is navigating complex alliances between the US and Iran, both of which hold significant influence in the region.
Assessing Iraq's Military Readiness Post-Withdrawal
As discussions about the withdrawal progress, experts are weighing Iraq's military capabilities to fill the potential security void. Retired Major General Imad Alo emphasized that while Iraq's ground forces have improved, air defense capabilities still require international support, particularly in radar and missile systems. The ongoing strategic dialogue between Baghdad and Washington, which began in 2020, has been crucial in addressing these military needs.
Political analysts express mixed feelings about the implications of US troop withdrawal. Concerns have been raised by Sunni and Kurdish communities about the potential resurgence of sectarian violence without American oversight. Mohammed Harith al-Mutalibi pointed out that the withdrawal could lead to economic instability and exacerbate existing tensions within Iraq's diverse population. He emphasized the importance of maintaining a legal framework to ensure stability and prevent the rise of a dominant majority.
Strategic expert Haider Hamid echoed these sentiments, stressing the need for Iraq to establish robust logistical and intelligence support systems to confront ongoing threats, particularly from ISIS. He warned that the withdrawal could create a power vacuum, allowing Iranian influence to expand in the region. Despite these challenges, Hamid believes that the end of the international coalition's mission does not signify the end of US-Iraq relations; rather, it may lead to new security agreements to support Iraqi forces.
As Iraq prepares for this pivotal transition, the focus will be on maintaining stability, enhancing military capabilities, and navigating the complex geopolitical landscape of the Middle East.
