Iran's Military Support to Syria: Challenges Ahead
Retired Colonel Hatem Karim Al-Falahi, a military expert, has expressed skepticism regarding Iran's ability to provide military support to Syria amidst ongoing conflicts. In an interview with Al Jazeera, Al-Falahi highlighted that logistical challenges and the deteriorating state of the Syrian Ministry of Defense forces have hindered Iran's capacity to send missiles and drones to Syria. He noted that the Syrian army has been in decline since the fall of Aleppo, making it increasingly difficult for them to regain control.
The Impact of Geopolitical Dynamics
Al-Falahi emphasized that Israel's opposition to the transfer of new weapons to Syria plays a significant role in Iran's military strategy. Israel aims to diminish Iranian influence in the region, complicating Iran's logistical operations. Furthermore, the geographical distance between Iran and Syria presents additional challenges for timely military support. Despite claims from a senior Iranian official about plans to send military equipment and increase advisors in Syria, Al-Falahi remains doubtful about the feasibility of such actions given the current circumstances.
Recent Developments in the Syrian Conflict
On the ground, the situation remains volatile as armed opposition forces have recently gained control over key cities, including Rastan and Talbiseh in northern Homs, following their earlier successes in Hama. Al-Falahi noted that these developments indicate a continued collapse of military sectors in the region, exacerbated by a shortage of ammunition and the loss of military manufacturing capabilities. The anticipated clashes between opposition forces and the Syrian army in Homs are expected to escalate in the coming days, with both sides mobilizing for confrontation.