Tehran - In the wake of a missile attack by Iran that has heightened tensions in the Middle East, the Israeli response has been notably delayed, prompting speculation among Iranian military and political analysts regarding the reasons behind this postponement. Despite Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's previous threats to retaliate, two weeks have elapsed without a decisive Israeli action. This delay has sparked questions within Iranian public opinion about the effectiveness and preparedness of Israel's military strategy against Iran.
According to a poll by Israeli Channel 14, 54% of Israelis support targeting Iranian nuclear facilities. However, the plan has faced significant opposition from the United States, leading Israel to reconsider its military options. Initially aiming for a comprehensive strike on Iranian nuclear sites, Israel has now narrowed its focus to military targets to avoid escalating the conflict further. Disagreements within the Israeli cabinet have stalled any decision on the timing of these potential strikes.
Military experts, like retired Revolutionary Guards Colonel Mohammad Reza Mohammadi, attribute the delay to both operational and political factors. He notes that the Israeli military's desire to collaborate with Western allies to dismantle Iran's nuclear capabilities has encountered regional and international resistance. The logistical challenges of launching an attack deep within Iranian territory, coupled with the recent Iranian missile strikes that have reportedly inflicted damage on Israeli defense systems, have further complicated Israel's military calculus.
Political analysts, including Salah El-Din Khediou, suggest that Israel's hesitation may also stem from a lack of confidence in its strategies to prevent future Iranian attacks. Khediou posits that Israel could be deliberately delaying its response to stretch Iranian forces thin, while also considering the impact of escalating tensions on upcoming U.S. presidential elections. He warns that any significant military action could have repercussions for U.S. interests in the region, especially as the Democratic administration weighs its support for Israel against the potential for broader conflict.
As the situation unfolds, Iranian officials are actively working to counter perceived threats, with President Masoud Pezeshkian leading diplomatic efforts to advocate for a ceasefire and reduce tensions in the region. The Iranian Foreign Ministry is reportedly engaged in a campaign to thwart what they describe as a conspiracy among the U.S., Israel, and certain European allies aimed at undermining Iran's stability.
