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International Competition in Africa: Historical Roots and Future Scenarios

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The article explores the current international competition in Africa, tracing its roots to the Berlin Conference and examining the roles of major powers like China, the US, Russia, and France. It discusses the implications of this competition on African states, their internal challenges, and potential future scenarios.

The Berlin Conference laid the groundwork for many of the conflicts seen in Africa today, illustrating the long-lasting impact of colonialism on the continent's political landscape.

China's Belt and Road Initiative is a double-edged sword for African nations, offering infrastructure development while also posing risks of economic dependency.

The decline of French influence in West Africa presents an opportunity for Russia to expand its foothold, potentially reshaping the geopolitical dynamics in the region.

The future of African states hinges on their ability to foster inclusive governance and equitable resource management to counter external exploitation.

If African states successfully address their internal challenges, they may emerge as stronger players in the global arena, negotiating better terms with external powers.

Should the current trends of external competition continue unchecked, Africa may become a battleground for geopolitical rivalries, leading to increased instability and resource depletion.

The rise of Russia and China as dominant players in Africa could lead to a new form of neocolonialism, where local elites serve foreign interests at the expense of national development.


The African continent is currently experiencing heightened international competition among major powers, a situation that has roots in historical events such as the Berlin Conference of 1884-1885. This conference significantly altered the political landscape of Africa, leading to the fragmentation of ethnic groups and the establishment of arbitrary borders that have fueled ongoing conflicts. The competition today involves key players like China, the United States, Russia, and France, each vying for influence and access to Africa's vast natural resources, including 30% of the world's mineral reserves and 12% of its oil reserves.

China has been actively expanding its presence in Africa through infrastructure investments and resource extraction, raising concerns about potential debt traps for African nations. The United States views Africa as strategically important for global trade and military positioning, although its influence has waned compared to China's growing economic footprint. Meanwhile, Russia has capitalized on anti-French sentiment in West Africa, strengthening ties with military regimes and seeking to exploit the region's resources, particularly in the wake of its conflict in Ukraine.

The implications of this international competition are profound, particularly concerning the internal challenges faced by African states, such as political instability, governance issues, and the legacy of colonialism. These factors hinder the development of cohesive national identities and effective governance structures, which are essential for navigating external pressures and fostering sustainable growth. The future of African states will largely depend on their ability to manage diversity, build robust institutions, and avoid becoming pawns in the geopolitical games of external powers.

  • The article emphasizes the need for African nations to recognize and manage their internal diversity effectively, which is crucial for achieving political stability and societal peace. It also highlights the importance of developing civil political structures to counteract the growing influence of tribal loyalties that can undermine national unity.
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Refs: | Aljazeera |

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