Hezbollah's missile attacks are strategically timed to coincide with ongoing negotiations, indicating their desire to negotiate from a position of strength rather than weakness.
The conflict is characterized by a cycle of retaliation, where both sides respond to each other's military actions, complicating the prospects for a ceasefire.
The targeting of specific locations, such as Tyre, suggests that Hezbollah is not only responding militarily but also strategically, aiming to influence political negotiations.
If the current escalation continues, it may lead to a broader military conflict involving more extensive operations from both Hezbollah and Israeli forces.
The ongoing military actions could hinder diplomatic efforts for a ceasefire, prolonging the conflict and increasing civilian casualties on both sides.
Hezbollah's strategy of maintaining pressure through military responses may lead to a reevaluation of Israel's approach to negotiations, potentially pushing for more serious discussions.
Military expert Brigadier General Hassan Jouni has stated that the recent escalation of missile attacks by Hezbollah on Israeli targets, including Tel Aviv and the city of Safed, signals the group's readiness for an open confrontation if necessary. This escalation is viewed as a direct response to Israeli actions in Beirut, reflecting a policy of 'capital for capital.' Jouni emphasized that while Hezbollah is showing flexibility in negotiations with the U.S., this does not indicate weakness but rather a dual message of openness to peaceful solutions without compromising their strength.
The recent missile attacks coincide with a period of heightened tensions, including drone strikes from southern Lebanon and Israeli military actions in Greater Tel Aviv, which have resulted in injuries and damage. Hezbollah's operations are intended to demonstrate their military capabilities and readiness to escalate if their concerns regarding the U.S. draft are not addressed.
In response to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's claims of having destroyed 80% of Hezbollah's missile capabilities, Jouni dismissed this assertion as an attempt to bolster public confidence in Israel. He noted that Hezbollah's recent actions contradict this claim and showcase their ongoing military strength. Jouni warned that continued Israeli aggression would provoke further responses from Hezbollah, including potential surprises targeting broader Israeli areas.