Gulf States Favor Trump for 2024 Election
As the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaches, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) are increasingly inclined to support Donald Trump over Democratic nominee Kamala Harris. Trump's previous administration is viewed favorably by Gulf leaders, who believe his return could enhance their geopolitical ambitions in the region. Under Trump, the U.S. and Saudi Arabia negotiated a comprehensive security agreement, which is seen as more likely to be revived if he wins the election. In contrast, Harris's expected diplomatic approach could contradict the interests of these Gulf states, particularly regarding Iran and regional conflicts.
The ongoing conflict in Gaza and its ramifications have heightened tensions in the Middle East, prompting Saudi Arabia and the UAE to seek stability that they believe Trump can offer. Harris's foreign policy is anticipated to favor diplomatic relations with Iran, which could undermine the security interests of the Gulf states. This shift could lead to a reduction in U.S. support for Saudi Arabia and the UAE, as Harris may impose stricter conditions on arms sales and military cooperation, unlike Trump, who is perceived as more supportive of their security needs.
David Friedman Advocates for Israeli Sovereignty
In a related development, David Friedman, former U.S. ambassador to Israel and a close associate of Trump, has launched his book advocating for Israeli sovereignty over Judea and Samaria, dismissing the viability of a two-state solution. Friedman argues that the recent escalation in violence, particularly following the October 7 attacks, underscores the existential threat a Palestinian state would pose to Israel. He emphasizes that the Palestinian Authority lacks the governance capabilities necessary to establish a stable state, advocating instead for full Israeli control while ensuring the rights of Palestinians living under Israeli sovereignty.
Friedman’s proposals resonate with Trump's administration's previous policies, which favored stronger Israeli control and security measures. This alignment indicates a potential shift in U.S. foreign policy towards Israel if Trump is reelected, further complicating the already tense dynamics in the region.