The French legislative elections have seen a tumultuous second round, with the far-right National Regrouping (RG) party making significant gains, although falling short of an absolute majority. The elections were marked by a record participation rate of 26.63% at noon, reflecting the high stakes and public interest in the outcome.
TF1 emerged as the leading broadcaster for election coverage, attracting 6.11 million viewers, a significant increase from the first round. France 2 followed closely with 5.46 million viewers, while France 3 and M6 saw declines in their audience shares. The heightened viewership underscores the public's keen interest in the election results.
The election has been characterized by a climate of fear and division, reminiscent of historical conflicts like the Spanish Civil War. The government has deployed 30,000 police officers across the country, with 5,000 stationed in Paris, to prevent potential violence and unrest. Businesses in major cities like Paris, Lyon, and Grenoble have taken precautions, boarding up windows in anticipation of riots.
Despite the RG's strong performance, they are not expected to secure the 289 seats needed for an absolute majority in the National Assembly. Polls suggest they will win between 175 and 205 seats. This outcome would still mark a significant increase from their previous 88 seats, but it falls short of enabling them to force President Emmanuel Macron into a cohabitation government.
The political landscape in France is poised for significant changes. The New Popular Front (NFP), a leftist alliance, is projected to win between 145 and 175 seats, making it the second-largest force in the Assembly. Macron's centrist coalition is expected to see its numbers halved, leading to a fragmented and potentially ungovernable parliament.
Prominent political figures have already cast their votes, including President Macron and former Prime Minister Edouard Philippe. Marine Le Pen, whose district did not require a second round, has not voted today. The election results are anticipated to lead to a prolonged period of political uncertainty, with Macron potentially needing to form a broad coalition or a technocratic government to navigate the fragmented Assembly.
The election has also highlighted deep societal divisions, with families and communities split over their political allegiances. The far-right's rise has been fueled by public discontent with Macron's pro-business reforms and perceived neglect of social issues. Analysts suggest that RG's softened positions on certain issues have helped them gain broader support, but their core policies on immigration and national preference remain contentious.
