The first round of the early legislative elections in France is taking place today, June 30, 2024, following the dissolution of the National Assembly on June 9. Over 49.5 million voters are called to the polls to elect 577 deputies. Polling stations opened at 8 a.m. and will close at 8 p.m. in major cities like Paris.
Participation rates have seen a significant increase compared to previous elections. By 5 p.m., 59.39% of voters had cast their ballots, a 20-point increase from the 2022 legislative elections. This high voter turnout could influence the election's outcome, especially in constituencies where candidates need at least 12.5% of registered voters' votes to qualify for the second round.
The National Rally (RN), led by Marine Le Pen and her crown prince Jordan Bardella, is leading in the polls. This right-wing nationalist party could achieve a significant victory, potentially even an absolute majority in the National Assembly. Such a result would not only impact France's domestic policies but also its stance on European Union matters and military aid to Ukraine.
In certain constituencies, there have been irregularities and confusion among voters. In the 1st constituency of the Ardennes, a candidate used the RN logo without authorization, leading to an investigation for 'fraudulent maneuver.' In the 5th constituency of Yvelines, RN voters were confused by the absence of the party's logo on ballots, leading some to believe there was an irregularity.
- The final results of the first round will be communicated at 8 p.m., as required by law. Until then, no partial results or trends can be shared. The second round of voting is scheduled for July 7, 2024.
- The current political landscape in France is poised for a significant shift. If the RN secures a majority, it could lead to a scenario known as cohabitation, where the President and the Prime Minister come from different political camps. This would be a first since World War II and could drastically change the governance of France.
- The high voter turnout is a critical factor in this election. Departments like Aveyron, Bouches-du-Rhône, and Gers have seen substantial participation rates, while areas like Seine-Saint-Denis and Val-de-Marne have lower turnout. These variations could influence the overall results and the political landscape of specific constituencies.
- The election results are being closely watched not only in France but also internationally. A victory for the RN could have far-reaching implications for France's role in the European Union and its foreign policy, particularly regarding military aid to Ukraine.
