High desertion rates in the Russian army indicate severe morale issues and operational challenges.
The introduction of the new 'Oreshnik' missile suggests an escalation in military capabilities from Russia, potentially impacting the conflict's dynamics.
The psychological state of soldiers, including PTSD and fear of imprisonment, plays a significant role in the decision to desert.
The trend of desertion may continue to rise as soldiers face increasing pressures and harsh conditions.
The deployment of the 'Oreshnik' missile could lead to intensified military actions from both sides, potentially escalating the conflict further.
Continued high-profile desertions may prompt the Russian military to implement more stringent measures to retain personnel.
High Desertion Rates in the Russian Army Amid Ukraine Conflict
The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has led to significant desertion rates within the Russian military, particularly in the 20th Motorized Guards Rifle Division. According to reports, over 11,700 soldiers have deserted since the war began, with many citing harsh treatment and high casualties as primary reasons for their departure. A recent investigation revealed that a substantial number of these deserters are contract soldiers, including high-ranking officers. The situation has prompted Russian officials to demand stricter measures against those who abandon their posts, highlighting the increasing challenges faced by the Russian military in maintaining troop morale and numbers.
Soldiers like Mikhail, who served in the 20th Division, have shared harrowing accounts of their experiences, including threats of imprisonment for those who consider desertion. Despite these threats, many soldiers opt to flee, often returning to the front lines due to psychological pressures and the fear of imprisonment. The trend of desertion appears to be on the rise, with reports indicating that criminal cases related to unauthorized desertion have surged since March 2023.
New Russian Missile 'Oreshnik' Unveiled Amid Ongoing Conflict
In a related development, the Ukrainian secret service (SBU) has presented fragments of a new Russian missile identified as 'Oreshnik.' This missile was reportedly used in a strike against an arms factory in Dnipro, marking a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict. Russian President Vladimir Putin has touted the missile as a hypersonic weapon capable of reaching speeds of Mach 10, emphasizing its potential as a strategic asset in the war.
The SBU confirmed that this is the first time such missile debris has been found on Ukrainian territory since the invasion began in February 2022. The discovery raises concerns about the evolving capabilities of the Russian military and the potential implications for the conflict. Putin has ordered the mass production of the 'Oreshnik' missile, indicating that Russia is preparing for sustained military operations against Ukraine and its Western allies.