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2024 US Presidential Election: Harry's Bar Predicts Trump Victory Amid Global Concerns

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Harry's Bar in Paris predicts a Trump victory in the 2024 US Presidential Election, reflecting the results of the actual vote. The election's outcome is poised to impact US-Venezuela relations and migration policies, while European markets await clarity.


2024 US Presidential Election Results: Harry's Bar Straw Vote Predicts Trump Win

In a tradition dating back over a century, Harry's Bar in Paris has once again provided a glimpse into the outcome of the US presidential election. Following a month of fictitious voting, the bar's straw poll declared Donald Trump the winner with 568 votes, narrowly defeating Kamala Harris, who received 534 votes. This closely mirrors the actual election results, marking Trump's victory as the 47th president of the United States. Historically, Harry's Bar's predictions have been remarkably accurate, with only two incorrect outcomes since its inception in 1911.

The straw vote, which requires participants to show their passports, saw a total of 1,102 votes cast this year, highlighting the close competition between the two candidates. The event drew regulars to watch the live broadcast of the official results, underscoring the bar's cultural significance among the American expatriate community in Paris.

Impact of US Election Outcome on Venezuela

As the US election unfolded, the implications for Venezuela were significant, particularly in light of Nicolás Maduro's controversial reelection. The outcome of the US election could influence immigration policies, especially concerning the influx of Venezuelan migrants. Maduro expressed hopes for a constructive relationship with the US, regardless of whether Trump or Harris emerged victorious.

With over 8 million Venezuelans having fled the country since 2014, the potential for increased migration through perilous routes to the US is a concern for both US officials and Venezuelan citizens. A recent survey indicated that more than 18% of Venezuelans would consider emigrating if Maduro were to continue his presidency, a situation that could complicate immigration discussions in the US.

Global Financial Markets React to Election Tensions

In anticipation of the US election results, European stock markets exhibited caution. Despite positive futures in Wall Street, investors were wary, with the Stoxx 600 area index showing a slight uptick of 0.1%. Key sectors such as utilities and energy saw modest gains, reflecting a mixed sentiment in the market. The euro strengthened against the dollar, reaching $1.0893, while government bond yields experienced slight increases. The overall market atmosphere remains tense as investors await clarity on the election outcome and its broader implications for global economic stability.

Clam Reports
Refs: | CNNEE | Merkur | ANSA | Le Parisien |

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