The potential for a second Oreshnik missile attack highlights the ongoing volatility in the Ukraine conflict, with both sides preparing for further escalations.
Trump's opposition to the use of long-range missiles against Russia raises questions about future U.S. military support for Ukraine under his administration.
Russia may initiate a new offensive using the Oreshnik missile in early 2025, particularly with the potential deployment of these missiles in Belarus.
The dynamics of U.S. support for Ukraine could shift significantly with Trump's presidency, impacting the overall strategy in the conflict.
Escalation in the Ukraine War: The Role of the Oreshnik Missile
As the Ukraine war approaches its third anniversary, tensions are escalating with the potential for renewed military offensives. Russian President Vladimir Putin has intensified his rhetoric surrounding the medium-range missile known as the "Oreshnik." The Pentagon has raised concerns about an imminent retaliatory attack by Russia using this missile, particularly following recent Ukrainian strikes on Russian military targets.
The U.S. Department of Defense anticipates that Russia may launch a second attack with the Oreshnik missile in the coming days, as indicated by Pentagon spokesperson Sabrina Singh. While Singh noted that such an attack would likely not alter the battlefield dynamics, it represents a continued effort by Russia to inflict damage on Ukraine. This situation is compounded by the uncertainty surrounding U.S. support for Ukraine as Donald Trump prepares to assume the presidency again, with indications that he may restrict military aid.
Trump’s Stance on Military Aid and the Use of Missiles
In a recent interview, Trump expressed strong opposition to Ukraine using U.S. missiles against Russian territory, arguing that it escalates the conflict unnecessarily. He emphasized the need for negotiations to resolve the war, stating, "The only way to reach a deal is to not give up." This stance contrasts with the outgoing Biden administration's commitment to providing substantial military aid to Ukraine, including a recent $500 million package aimed at bolstering Ukraine's defenses against ongoing Russian aggression.
The aid package includes critical military supplies such as ammunition for Himars rocket systems, artillery shells, and drones, marking the 72nd shipment of military assistance since the start of the conflict. Meanwhile, Poland's Prime Minister Donald Tusk has indicated that Poland is not planning to deploy troops to Ukraine at this time, despite discussions about potential military presence in the future as part of a peacekeeping force.
