The formation of a parallel government could exacerbate existing divisions within the Sudanese opposition, potentially undermining efforts to achieve a unified front against the RSF.
The RSF's influence in Sudanese politics is growing, raising concerns about the future of democratic governance in the country.
International recognition of any new government formed in exile remains uncertain, complicating the political dynamics in Sudan.
If the divisions within the Progress coalition continue, it may lead to a fragmented opposition that struggles to present a cohesive strategy against the RSF.
The RSF may solidify its control over regions in Sudan, potentially leading to a scenario similar to that of Libya or Yemen, where parallel authorities exist.
Increased external pressure and involvement from international powers could influence the political landscape in Sudan, affecting the balance of power among competing factions.
Sudan's Political Landscape: Tensions Within the Progress Coalition
In recent developments, the Sudanese Progress Alliance Coordination Committee has faced significant internal strife following meetings held from December 3 to 6 in Entebbe, Uganda. The coalition, led by former Prime Minister Abdullah Hamdok, is grappling with disagreements over the formation of a government in exile and authority in areas controlled by the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). Observers note that the coalition may be considering a transformation as factions clash over their political direction.
The Revolutionary Front factions, which include the Sudan Liberation Movement and the Justice and Equality Movement, have proposed establishing a parallel government based in Port Sudan, the temporary administrative capital. However, this proposal has met with resistance from the majority within the coalition, leading to a postponement of any clear decision. Political sources indicate that the Revolutionary Front's leaders struggled to address crucial questions regarding the legitimacy and recognition of such a government, prompting calls for further consultations.
The Future of the Progress Coalition: Fragmentation or Unity?
As tensions rise, leaders from the Revolutionary Front have engaged in side discussions to garner support for their proposal. However, many within the coalition view alignment with the RSF as a potential exit from the alliance, emphasizing the need for amicable separation if necessary. Fathi Muhammad Abdo, a spokesperson for the Sudan Liberation Forces Gathering, has called for a legitimate revolutionary government to restore constitutional rights and unify Sudan.
Conversely, Bakri Al-Jak, spokesperson for the Coordination of Democratic Civilian Forces
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- The ongoing conflict in Sudan has led to a complex political landscape, with various factions vying for power and legitimacy. The situation remains fluid, and the potential for fragmentation within the opposition coalition poses challenges for achieving peace and stability in the region.
