Trump is perceived as a pragmatic leader by Russians, contrasting with the current U.S. administration.
A significant portion of Russians would support Trump in the U.S. elections, reflecting dissatisfaction with Democratic leadership.
Experts predict a potential shift in U.S. foreign policy towards Ukraine under a Trump presidency, focusing on negotiations with Russia.
If Trump wins, military aid to Ukraine may decrease significantly.
Negotiations between the U.S. and Russia could become more feasible, reducing ideological confrontations.
Trump's foreign policy may prioritize relations with Asia and the Middle East over Ukraine.
Russian Perception of Trump: A Pragmatic Leader
In Russia, Donald Trump is viewed as a more rational figure compared to other American politicians, particularly regarding his stance on Russia and the Ukraine conflict. Political analysts suggest that Trump's approach during his presidency, characterized by political realism, resonates with Russian citizens. Dmitry Yevstafyev, a political scientist, noted that Trump’s campaign emphasizes avoiding a major war between Russia and NATO, contrasting sharply with the Biden administration's confrontational tactics.
Trump's Appeal Among Russians
According to a recent survey by VTsIOM, if given the opportunity, a significant portion of Russians would support Trump in the upcoming U.S. elections. The survey indicated that 40% of respondents favor Trump, while only 8% would vote for Kamala Harris. This preference highlights a broader discontent with the current Democratic leadership and a fascination with Trump's capitalist persona, as noted by American political scientist Malek Dudakov. He argues that Trump's image stands out against what he describes as uninspiring politicians in the Democratic Party.
Future Implications of a Trump Presidency
Experts predict that a Trump victory could lead to a shift in U.S. foreign policy, particularly regarding Ukraine. While Trump is not inherently pro-Russian, analysts believe he may prioritize American interests and seek to negotiate with Russia if he perceives a loss for the West in Ukraine. Dudakov suggests that Trump's pragmatism could facilitate dialogue between Washington and Moscow, whereas a Democratic administration would likely continue ideological confrontations. However, Evgeny Semibratov warns that Trump's desire to 'make America great' could lead to increased support for Ukraine if his plans are rejected by Putin.