Russian and Ukrainian Military Struggles Amid Ongoing Conflict
The Ukraine war continues to take a heavy toll on both sides, with Russia and Ukraine facing significant challenges in maintaining their military forces. According to Western estimates, Russia has suffered catastrophic losses, with up to 728,000 soldiers either killed or seriously injured since the conflict began in February 2022. The British Economist's review highlights the severe impact on Russian military personnel, leading to a pressing need for new recruits.
To address the issue of conscripts fleeing the country, the Kremlin has implemented a new software system for 'electronic data exchange' between the Ministry of Defense and the Federal Security Service (FSB). This system aims to prevent conscripts from leaving Russia before they can be trained. Since January 2024, a new law has prohibited men from leaving the country once they have received a call-up order, which can now be delivered online via the government portal Gosuslugi.
Ukraine's Recruitment Challenges and Prisoner Exchanges
Ukraine faces similar recruitment challenges, with all men aged 18 to 60 banned from leaving the country since the invasion began. President Volodymyr Zelensky signed a new recruitment law in April 2023, lowering the minimum conscription age and introducing new sanctions for conscientious objectors. Despite these measures, Ukraine still struggles to recruit enough soldiers, with the General Staff demanding the mobilization of 500,000 more soldiers at the end of 2023.
In the midst of these recruitment efforts, both countries have continued to engage in prisoner exchanges. Recently, Russia and Ukraine exchanged 95 soldiers each, facilitated by mediation from the United Arab Emirates. This follows a series of similar exchanges, with Russia currently holding 6,465 Ukrainian soldiers and Ukraine detaining 1,348 Russian soldiers.
The issue of family reunification has also been a topic of discussion during these exchanges. Ukraine accuses Russia of deporting around 20,000 minors, demanding their return. The International Criminal Court has issued an arrest warrant against Russian President Vladimir Putin and his Children's Commissioner, Maria Lvova-Belova, for the alleged deportation of children. Despite these accusations, Russia continues to deny any wrongdoing, claiming to act in the best interest of the children.