A recent CNN poll reveals that a majority of Americans doubt former President Donald Trump will concede the results if he loses the November 2024 presidential election. This skepticism persists despite a widespread belief that the loser of an election has an obligation to accept the results. The poll, conducted by SSRS, shows that 71% of Americans think Trump will not concede, while 78% believe President Joe Biden would accept the results if he loses.
The poll indicates a significant divide among registered voters regarding Trump's false claims about the 2020 election. Only about half of the registered voters see Trump's refusal to concede in 2020 as a reason to vote against him in 2024. This sentiment is more pronounced among Biden supporters, with 95% believing the loser should concede, compared to 77% of Trump supporters.
In a televised address, President Joe Biden urged Americans to 'convict' Trump in the upcoming election by denying him another term in office. Biden's call to action follows a Supreme Court decision that granted Trump partial immunity from legal prosecution. Biden criticized the court's decision, arguing that it undermines the rule of law and sets a dangerous precedent.
Biden's speech emphasized the need for the American people to judge Trump's conduct, particularly his actions surrounding the January 6 Capitol riot. Biden stated that Americans must decide whether Trump's behavior makes him unworthy of holding the highest public office again. He also highlighted the importance of the public's role in safeguarding democracy.
Trump, on the other hand, praised the Supreme Court's decision, calling it a powerful vindication against what he described as dishonest attacks from Biden. Trump used his platform, Truth Social, to assert that many of the claims against him would now fade away. This decision is seen by some analysts as a significant win for Trump, potentially prolonging any legal battles until after the election.
The political landscape remains highly polarized, with Biden's mental and physical fitness being questioned by a substantial portion of the electorate. A CBS poll cited by CNN indicates that 72% of Americans believe Biden should withdraw from the race due to concerns about his mental state. This sentiment is further fueled by Biden's recent debate performance, which was widely criticized.
Experts suggest that the issue of Trump's criminal prosecutions will continue to be a focal point in the campaign. Democrats are expected to leverage this issue to rally their base, while Republicans view it as a means to galvanize their core supporters. The Supreme Court's decision not to disqualify Trump from the ballot has fortified his position within the Republican Party, making his candidacy more resilient against legal challenges.
- The CNN poll was conducted by SSRS between June 28-30 among a random national sample of 1,274 adults, including 1,045 registered voters. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for the full sample and plus or minus 3.7 points for registered voters.
- Biden's televised address came in response to the Supreme Court's decision on Trump's partial immunity from legal prosecution. Biden argued that the decision creates a dangerous precedent and undermines the rule of law in the country.
- Trump's response to the Supreme Court decision was posted on his Truth Social platform, where he described the ruling as a vindication against Biden's alleged dishonest attacks. Trump believes that many of the claims against him will now disappear or fade into oblivion.
- Political analysts predict that the issue of Trump's criminal prosecutions will remain a central theme in the 2024 election campaign. Both parties are expected to use this issue to mobilize their respective bases, with Democrats highlighting it as a reason to oppose Trump and Republicans using it to rally support.