The shift in Syria's political dynamics indicates a potential end to Assad's long-standing rule, driven by military pressures from opposition forces.
The inability of Russia and Iran to support Assad effectively suggests a diminishing influence of these allies in the region.
The emphasis on a diplomatic solution highlights the importance of international cooperation in resolving the Syrian conflict.
If Assad is forced to relinquish power, it could lead to a power vacuum that may exacerbate existing tensions among various factions in Syria.
The potential dissolution of Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham could alter the balance of power among opposition groups, impacting future governance in Syria.
Increased diplomatic engagement from Turkey and Russia may pave the way for a more stable political environment in Syria post-Assad.
Assad's Regime Faces Inevitable Change in Syria
The political landscape in Syria is undergoing a significant transformation, as President Bashar al-Assad's regime appears to be on the brink of collapse. Political analyst Mahmoud Alloush, in a recent interview with Al Jazeera, emphasized that Assad has no viable option but to either face military defeat or negotiate a transfer of power. This shift comes as Syrian opposition forces gain ground, inching closer to controlling the capital, Damascus.
Alloush noted that the previous discussions surrounding Arab-Turkish and European normalization with Assad have shifted dramatically towards the possibility of his sudden downfall. With neither Russia nor Iran able to provide substantial support to the Assad regime, the likelihood of a political solution has increased, albeit through a transfer of power rather than mere dialogue. He stated, "Change is inevitable," highlighting that the future of Syria will be shaped either by force or through diplomatic understandings.
As the situation unfolds, Alloush suggests that the international community must prepare for a new Syria, fundamentally different from its past. He called for the activation of diplomatic efforts between Turkey and Russia to facilitate a political agreement based on UN Security Council Resolution 2254. Furthermore, he addressed concerns regarding the future of Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham, indicating that the group may play a significant role in the transition process, potentially even dissolving in alignment with the new political landscape.
