Netanyahu's Strategy for a Phased Deal with Hamas
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is reportedly pursuing a phased deal with Hamas that aims to achieve a cessation of hostilities in exchange for the return of Israeli prisoners. Experts suggest that this strategy is influenced by the incoming U.S. administration under President Donald Trump, who has expressed a desire for a prisoner swap before taking office on January 20. Recent polls indicate that 70% of Israelis support the return of prisoners, even if it means halting military operations, reflecting a significant shift in public sentiment regarding the ongoing conflict.
The Role of U.S. Influence and Regional Dynamics
Following a visit to Tel Aviv, U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan conveyed optimism about the potential for a prisoner agreement. This comes amid changing regional dynamics, including Israel's perceived ability to impose conditions on mediators and Hamas due to recent developments in Lebanon and Syria. Experts believe that Netanyahu's reluctance to finalize a comprehensive deal may stem from his desire to negotiate military presence in Gaza with Trump, who is seen as more favorable to Israeli interests than President Biden.
Challenges and Obstacles to Agreement
Despite the apparent readiness for negotiation, significant challenges remain. Political analysts highlight that issues surrounding the complete withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza and the return of displaced persons complicate the situation. Netanyahu's attempts to interpret negotiations in a way that benefits his administration have led mediators to seek a more comprehensive agreement. The Israeli Prime Minister's strategy appears to be focused on balancing domestic pressures, international relations, and the complex realities on the ground.
