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National Rally Dominates European Elections: Analyzing Voter Preferences

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Discover how the National Rally's success in European elections ties to voter TV habits, with Minister Gérald Darmanin's insights on political alliances.


On June 9, the National Rally list, led by Jordan Bardella, achieved a striking victory in the European elections, securing 31.36% of the votes. Following closely were the presidential majority with 14.60%, the Socialist Party-Place publique with 13.83%, La France insoumise with 9.89%, The Republicans capturing 7.24%, the Ecologists at 5.50%, and Reconquest! at 5.47%, according to the finalized results from the Ministry of the Interior.

Marianne, intrigued by these results, commissioned a survey through IFOP to delve into the television viewing habits of the voters. Conducted among 2,871 registered voters from a sample representing the French demographic aged 18 and above, the online self-administered questionnaire on June 9, 2024, revealed interesting insights. The survey indicated that 44% of TF1's 8 p.m. news viewers and 39% of the “19.45” viewers on M6 supported the National Rally.

Conversely, the 8 p.m. news from France 2 attracted different voter preferences: 26% for Raphaël Glucksmann’s Socialist Party-Place publique and 23% for Valérie Hayer’s Renaissance list. The split extended to popular talk shows as well. Half of the viewers of “Touche pas à mon poste!” hosted by Cyril Hanouna on C8 voted for far-right parties, specifically 42% for the National Rally and 8% for Reconquest.

On the opposite end, the talk show “Quotidien” primarily appealed to left-wing voters with 22% supporting Raphael Glucksmann and 16% backing Manon Aubry of La France insoumise. Nevertheless, Jordan Bardella’s National Rally managed to capture 19% of its viewers. Similar trends emerged from Anne-Élisabeth Lemoine's “C à vous” on France 5, which saw 23% of its viewers supporting the Socialist Party-Place publique and 16% supporting the National Rally.

The political discourse continued with the Minister of the Interior, Gérald Darmanin, who was queried on CNews about his voting preferences in a potential second round between an RN candidate and a Popular Front candidate. Emphasizing action over comments, Darmanin stated, “I would not vote for an RN candidate, nor for an LFI candidate.” He noted he could support an LR or a socialist candidate instead. Reiterating his stance, Darmanin expressed his disapproval of France Insoumise, criticizing their perceived betrayal of foundational values and law enforcement.

  • When asked about the dissolution decision, Gérald Darmanin indicated it was a positive move, praising President Emmanuel Macron for his quick, 'Gaullian' decision. He further described the majority as the 'anti-system,' stressing the paradox of their position.
Clam Reports
Refs: | Le Parisien | Le Figaro |

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